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Old 30th August 2019
  #16
Lives for gear
 

Latest NOAA forecast (11AM EST) has the shear which was degrading Dorian eased off, so yes, it's likely to intensify. Last drop sonde readings had it going 310 degrees at 9 knots now.

But hurricanes remain very unpredictable, even with all the great research and analysis and modeling that goes into every report.

All of the "spaghetti" lines in a spaghetti graph are true, just at statistically more or less likely ways.

In any event, yes, be careful out there! Watch for alligators!