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Old 8th February 2010   #241
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Old 8th February 2010   #242
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lagavulin16 View Post
It's the same as it ever was. You start with four guys in a smelly garage (ok, 4-7 men/women in a practice space) and you start writing songs, getting horrible gigs in horrible venues, drivingg on a tour in a van that keeps breaking for 14 hours straight so you can play for 6 drunks in an empty bar, beg people to buy your album, hone your skills, improve, get a mailing list together, and then you either are building a fan base that gets bigger every year or the band breaks up.

At some point you get big enough to get signed, or you get big enough to not get signed but still make a good living (think Fugazi or Ani DiFranco).

Some artists are going to get signed, sell CDs (and MP3s) and make money despite piracy. You think Flo-Rida, Ke$ha, Katy Perry and Jay-Z haven't made any money off of music sales this year? And yes, they're all on major labels and the point remains that major labels can continue to make money (along with artists) with piracy running rampant.

SO what is you point, exactly?



I'm hardly defeatist, simply a realist. I do expect the industry numbers to turn with the general economy at some point: I expect it to be an industry which eventually starts going back up after several years of decline as opposed to an industry that disappears after several years of decline.

Piracy reduction is what we're looking for.



I'm sort of envious of that guy. Is he never going to write another song again? Was he only in it for the money?
The most full of shite post yet. That may be YOUR story, but, it ain't mine.
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Originally Posted by boody View Post
I heard some quotes today; in the same quote

'it's easier to take something for free than to work and pay for it
it's easier to beat a child than to raise it'

This is the dilemma I have with a lot of these discussions: we are all against piracy but in the same time most of you all think punishment is the sacred way to go. You all forget that you can not stop violence with violence, eye for an eye crap etc etc.

Raise the child. Beating it will turn it against you for sure. It will make it cult.
Too true, best post.
No war that was ever waged on earth has ever ended, the just proceed to economic warfare once fighting on the ground is done. It's no joke either, they are all still being waged.
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Old 8th February 2010   #243
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Originally Posted by chrisso View Post
Are you another one of those bitter old farts, holding on to that evil corrupt industry model from the past with your cold dead hands?

No, me neither.
Great post.
Hit the nail smack bang on the head.
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Old 8th February 2010   #244
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Quote:
Originally Posted by boody View Post
I heard some quotes today; in the same quote

'it's easier to take something for free than to work and pay for it
it's easier to beat a child than to raise it'

This is the dilemma I have with a lot of these discussions: we are all against piracy but in the same time most of you all think punishment is the sacred way to go. You all forget that you can not stop violence with violence, eye for an eye crap etc etc.

Raise the child. Beating it will turn it against you for sure. It will make it cult.
here we go again with the extremist views... we're talking PARKING TICKETS bro... PARKING TICKETS... is that the same as beating a child?

there's no way to have a conversation that always ends up with such extremist views...
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Old 8th February 2010   #245
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I agree.
Simply asking people to respect laws, and at the same time support artists is so far from child beating..... I don't know what else to say except the nay sayers obviously think they need the most extreme argument to make their point.
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Old 8th February 2010   #246
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Originally Posted by redvelvetstudios View Post
here we go again with the extremist views... we're talking PARKING TICKETS bro... PARKING TICKETS... is that the same as beating a child?

there's no way to have a conversation that always ends up with such extremist views...
Ok, you don't get the analogy? No problem. I know you are talking about parking tickets.
You know I think parking ticket like fines are fine. I just want to oppose the stubborn thought that if we hand out enough penalties, this whole nightmare will go away. It won't. It will get worse. That's my biggest fear.
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Old 8th February 2010   #247
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chrisso View Post
Simply asking people to respect laws, and at the same time support artists is so far from child beating..... I don't know what else to say except the nay sayers obviously think they need the most extreme argument to make their point.
Come on, give me a break
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Old 9th February 2010   #248
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Quote:
Originally Posted by boody View Post
.
You know I think parking ticket like fines are fine. I just want to oppose the stubborn thought that if we hand out enough penalties, this whole nightmare will go away. It won't. It will get worse. That's my biggest fear.

Most of what you say at least has some " philosophical" merit, but this statement is just nonsense.

Laws are put in place to protect the law abiding people , I think most of us would agree this will be a deterrent. . If pirates want to be vindictive by pushing back and punishing those who are only asking for fair compensation than bring it on. We creative professionals have the ethical and moral high ground in this argument whatever "spin" the naysayers might have . Technology may not be on our side but we will prevail.
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Old 9th February 2010   #249
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Quote:
Originally Posted by chrisso View Post
I agree.
Simply asking people to respect laws, and at the same time support artists is so far from child beating..... I don't know what else to say except the nay sayers obviously think they need the most extreme argument to make their point.
How is this statement unreasonable ?
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Old 9th February 2010   #250
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Originally Posted by kieran kelly View Post
Most of what you say at least has some " philosophical" merit, but this statement is just nonsense.

Laws are put in place to protect the law abiding people.
Sure. I just want to emphasize: laws alone won't do it. You need to motivate in a positive way in order to change the mindset of an average downloader. Otherwise you'll be just the guy who sanctions something that is cool. The average downloader thinks it's cool you can download movies & music for free. the average downloader is not just folks who don't have anything to do with IP: it's everybody!!! (except you guys of course . Just visited a studio: musicians hangin' in the launch room discussing what movies are cool to download...

but zorry to the folks who thing the metaphor was over the top; just heard it on a hiphop track where the artist used the quote on the intro (of course illegal; these guys don't even know what clearance is).
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Old 9th February 2010   #251
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Quote:
Originally Posted by redvelvetstudios View Post
here we go again with the extremist views... we're talking PARKING TICKETS bro... PARKING TICKETS... is that the same as beating a child?

there's no way to have a conversation that always ends up with such extremist views...
You're talking about parking tickets, and I think it's one of the more reasonable suggestions made here.

Others here want people facing hard jail time and hundreds of thousands of dollars in fines.
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Old 9th February 2010   #252
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lagavulin16 View Post
You're talking about parking tickets, and I think it's one of the more reasonable suggestions made here.

Others here want people facing hard jail time and hundreds of thousands of dollars in fines.
this idea has been suggested for weeks in this thread.

parking tickets for piracy would work. small enough to be fair but large enough to make buying music a better buy.

a cottage industry of collection agencies would take on the the collections just like they do with debt now - or the fines could be tacked onto your ISP bill. you can always elect to fight it too.

people will hate having to deal with it - it will be just enough of an annoyance to say the hell with it - I'll spend the damn 99 cents...

two things will happen

1) piracy will probably drop in half almost over night

2) total music consumption will drop rapidly as well - as a result the paid to piracy ratio may come to something like 70% paid within a year...

once that happens we can get a true sense of the marketplace and develop the best possible new models to meet the demands of PAYING CUSTOMERS.

that's a hell of lot better than 95% pirated now...
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Old 9th February 2010   #253
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at this point, we are back on page 2.

what boody is saying is that copyright enforcement laws will not result in more money for musicians nor a reduction in piracy.

It will, however, result in culling of the stupid from the rest of the herd, improving the efficiency of pirates.

If piracy is really the culprit of sales, and thats a big if, track the impact of napster, which was as ******** a piracy app there ever was, vs the impact of bit torrent, which is pretty damn sophisticated technology. They say insanity is doing the same thing each time and expecting different results.

Each iteration of copyright enforcement only improved the efficiency of the pirating community, as enforcement does not address the need to pirate nor smoke weed. The idea that money is a driving factor shows me that we may not all truly understand what motivates piracy. I don't think piracy is driven by economics. Metallica could release all their albums for free on their website as mp3s, and I would not be surprised to see that lots of folks would still pirate those identical, free mp3s off whatever dark corner of the net they thrive.
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Old 9th February 2010   #254
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how many laws we're broken while makin ALOT of the music we listen to.have strict drug laws stopped drugs from being used?get real and find another way to make money off music.there is some smart mother f$%^ers out there that will always be one up on the law.
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Old 9th February 2010   #255
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Quote:
Originally Posted by crufty View Post
at this point, we are back on page 2.

what boody is saying is that copyright enforcement laws will not result in more money for musicians nor a reduction in piracy.

It will, however, result in culling of the stupid from the rest of the herd, improving the efficiency of pirates.

If piracy is really the culprit of sales, and thats a big if, track the impact of napster, which was as ******** a piracy app there ever was, vs the impact of bit torrent, which is pretty damn sophisticated technology. They say insanity is doing the same thing each time and expecting different results.

Each iteration of copyright enforcement only improved the efficiency of the pirating community, as enforcement does not address the need to pirate nor smoke weed. The idea that money is a driving factor shows me that we may not all truly understand what motivates piracy. I don't think piracy is driven by economics. Metallica could release all their albums for free on their website as mp3s, and I would not be surprised to see that lots of folks would still pirate those identical, free mp3s off whatever dark corner of the net they thrive.
Exactly on point, great post

Now: what can we do?
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Old 9th February 2010   #256
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Quote:
Originally Posted by boody View Post
Exactly on point, great post

Now: what can we do?
The quote actually goes more like this:
" The human being is he only animal stupid enough to go down the same tunnel multiple times think it will get a different result, the definition of insanity."

At any rate, the law just changed it's tactics. Just on CNN, the USA (NSA) will be requiring IP monitoring on ALL servers all over the world or they will get shut down.
How will you pirate when you have no server?
These guys are not playing anymore, this is a very proactive response, they are monitoring ALL servers, everywhere, NOW.
It's on people.
The gov went for hardcore enforcement. No warnings. They are monitoring for everything now. They are going to see what they come up with.
Yes, they can do that, they have had the tech for decades to pull it off.

This should affect Denmark, Ivory Coast, France, Russia, and Australia a lot. Fake Euro lotteries, deposed African leaders with millions looking for "honorable sir", Chinese corps with millions to share with "trusted friend", all that crap is going the way of the dinosaur.
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Old 9th February 2010   #257
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Quote:
Originally Posted by crufty View Post

If piracy is really the culprit of sales, and thats a big if,
That's not a big if at all.......

In the past 10 years we've had

more computers
more internet access
more iPods (some 225,000,000 of them!)
more phones with memory
more single downloads
more bands with better visibility than ever before
more people going to more gigs
an economic boom
cheap credit
more disposable income than ever before
The world's economy doubled in size from U.S. $30.21 to U.S. $60.59 trillion

Yet the music industry is effectively halved?


Now IF you accept that piracy IS affecting the industry, then you can
1-try to do something about it (three strikes)
2-do nothing

Granted, It's not a very appealing choice we have here, but I'm for 1.
What you're suggesting is "three strikes will only cull the stupid, the clever people will go underground and not be caught"

What I'd suggest is "three strikes will be a deterrent to the dumbest & in particular the smartest of people. In fact it will probably be the smart ones who realise that 99c is a lot less hassle than getting a $100 fine or having their internet cut off"

"the 'middle'-tier of intelligence will likely follow suit also"
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Old 9th February 2010   #258
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Originally Posted by boody View Post
Sure. I just want to emphasize: laws alone won't do it.
Yeah totally ... Education is in my opinion even more important. I Think you have stated the same in the past.
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Old 9th February 2010   #259
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Originally Posted by kieran kelly View Post
Yeah totally ... Education is in my opinion even more important. I Think you have stated the same in the past.

Yeah I agree education is important, but no amount of education will ever compete with free......sorry to bang on about this, but if we're ever gonna curb piracy the attack must be two pronged.....legislation & education
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Old 9th February 2010   #260
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Quote:
Originally Posted by redvelvetstudios View Post
this idea has been suggested for weeks in this thread.

parking tickets for piracy would work. small enough to be fair but large enough to make buying music a better buy.

a cottage industry of collection agencies would take on the the collections just like they do with debt now - or the fines could be tacked onto your ISP bill. you can always elect to fight it too.

people will hate having to deal with it - it will be just enough of an annoyance to say the hell with it - I'll spend the damn 99 cents...

two things will happen

1) piracy will probably drop in half almost over night

2) total music consumption will drop rapidly as well - as a result the paid to piracy ratio may come to something like 70% paid within a year...

once that happens we can get a true sense of the marketplace and develop the best possible new models to meet the demands of PAYING CUSTOMERS.

that's a hell of lot better than 95% pirated now...
That can only work when the whole organization of the internet traffic is changed form 'open' to 'regulated' and will not work for 'private exchange'.

To fine them you need to be able to find them.

Remember the high school kids that sold the copied cassettes form top40 broadcasts?
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Old 9th February 2010   #261
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Originally Posted by bilbobaggins View Post
Yeah I agree education is important, but no amount of education will ever compete with free......sorry to bang on about this, but if we're ever gonna curb piracy the attack must be two pronged.....legislation & education
there we are. All heads in the same direction? So, under the credo 'legislation & education', what can we do?
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Old 9th February 2010   #262
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Originally Posted by mobius.media View Post
Obviously ISPs would be near the top of any such list.
I am not clear how. Even the pirates use the internet for other things. The ISP would get their $50 a month either way. I don't see where the ISP are really making a lot of additional income from this.
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Old 9th February 2010   #263
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Originally Posted by memphisindie View Post
The quote actually goes more like this:
" The human being is he only animal stupid enough to go down the same tunnel multiple times think it will get a different result, the definition of insanity."

At any rate, the law just changed it's tactics. Just on CNN, the USA (NSA) will be requiring IP monitoring on ALL servers all over the world or they will get shut down.
How will you pirate when you have no server?
These guys are not playing anymore, this is a very proactive response, they are monitoring ALL servers, everywhere, NOW.
It's on people.
The gov went for hardcore enforcement. No warnings. They are monitoring for everything now. They are going to see what they come up with.
Yes, they can do that, they have had the tech for decades to pull it off.

This should affect Denmark, Ivory Coast, France, Russia, and Australia a lot. Fake Euro lotteries, deposed African leaders with millions looking for "honorable sir", Chinese corps with millions to share with "trusted friend", all that crap is going the way of the dinosaur.
Link? I would like to read the particulars.
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Old 9th February 2010   #264
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bilbobaggins View Post
Yeah I agree education is important, but no amount of education will ever compete with free......sorry to bang on about this, but if we're ever gonna curb piracy the attack must be two pronged.....legislation & education
every business competes with free.

think about water. they pulled it off.

it's not even a better product in many cases.
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Old 9th February 2010   #265
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Originally Posted by bilbobaggins View Post
l be a deterrent to the dumbest & in particular the smartest of people. In fact it will probably be the smart ones who realise that 99c is a lot less hassle than getting a $100 fine or having their internet cut off"
no reason to hope against hope. However, if we agree that piracy is not a crime of economics, then the price of the music nor the price of the fine have any impact on piracy at all.

Thereby the pirates who are smart will not cease making the pirate market more efficient. They are not influenced by price nor economics.

Think about napster: it was by far the easiest mean of pirating. Download an executable, key in a song, download it. It was shut down in 2001 or so. How much better would the industry have been if napster had been allowed to continue?

Would people have been driven to more efficient / massive means of piracy?

Now, instead of a single song, people download entire catalogs / discographies. by your argument, leaving napster alone would be better.

I claim--it just doesn't matter. Piracy might account for 10% drop. Yes, it is uncertainty and unhealthy because of that: is an artist a failure because of piracy or other factors? Might be hard to tell.

But: Consider the beatles boxsets. Why would they sell out, esp when one could assumably download the entire thing? Isn't that competition vs free?
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Old 9th February 2010   #266
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the numbers...

* 95% of music is illegally distributed - legal music sales are $6 Billion in the USA.

* so $6 billion = 5% of total music consumption

* that would mean if 100% of the music in the hands of consumers was purchased it would total $120 Billion ($6B x 20 = $120 Billion or 100%).

* so even if piracy could be reduced so that the only 10% of music consumed were purchased annual revenue would be $12 Billion (double what it is now and pretty close to where it was before p2p took hold)

* if piracy were reduced to just the degree where 85% were pirated leaving 15% as legitimate sales would mean $18 billion in legitimate revenue in the USA alone

* just moving the needle from 5% legitimate sales to 15% legitimate sales is a massive game changer... $18 billion in revenue which would be a new peak for recorded music sales

* I don't think anyone needs to argue that legitimate sales would be 120 Billion if piracy we're eliminated - but a quick look at the numbers above and the facts below show that there can be a huge positive change with just a relatively small reduction of piracy...

EDUCATION AND PIRACY PARKING TICKETS... EDUCATION AND PIRACY PARKING TICKETS...

these are the facts:

- music sales began a rapid decline at the introduction of file-sharing


- after ten years of unchecked filesharing music sales have reduced 50%
Music's lost decade: Sales cut in half in 2000s - Feb. 2, 2010

- 1% of torrent content is non-infringing
Survey: Only 1% of Torrents non-infringing • The Register

- 95% of all digitally distributed music is illegal
95% of music downloads are illegal | Music | guardian.co.uk
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Old 9th February 2010   #267
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Originally Posted by bilbobaggins View Post
Yeah I agree education is important, but no amount of education will ever compete with free......sorry to bang on about this, but if we're ever gonna curb piracy the attack must be two pronged.....legislation & education
Sure it will, but, there will be enforcement anyway.
Quote:
Originally Posted by boody View Post
That can only work when the whole organization of the internet traffic is changed form 'open' to 'regulated' and will not work for 'private exchange'.

To fine them you need to be able to find them.

Remember the high school kids that sold the copied cassettes form top40 broadcasts?
DONE!
Finding them is now the easy part.
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Originally Posted by boody View Post
there we are. All heads in the same direction? So, under the credo 'legislation & education', what can we do?
It's already started and being done by the top and should be supported by all of us. The education part anyway.
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Link? I would like to read the particulars.
It was on CNN, I don't have the link, but, It was on yesterday, they were a bit cryptic about it, but there was no confusion about what they were saying and who was against it.

http://www.cnn.com/China: Hacker tra... show details
I'm not sure that's the right link though. I don't think they provided one.
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Old 9th February 2010   #268
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Post

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Originally Posted by memphisindie View Post
Sure it will, but, there will be enforcement anyway.
Of course: you need it and execute it to define the laws.

Quote:
DONE!
Finding them is now the easy part.
Great!! how?

This the link? China: Large hacker training Web site shut down - CNN.com
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Old 10th February 2010   #269
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Originally Posted by redvelvetstudios View Post
dubious
i scanned the report
http://www.ifpi.org/content/library/DMR2010.pdf


where does it say 95% piracy in the us?

it does say in the us sales fell 30%. you can't have 95% piracy and sale hits of only 30%, that would imply that people were pirating music they already owned (possible I guess). it also says only one in five people in europe pirate music. so to me that says a 20% piracy rate in the EU, which means 80% of the population is just not spending money on music either.

that number might be true for china, maybe lower for brazil and maybe a bit lower for spain. i don't think its true in the usa--would like to see these stats.

don't have time to fact check everything, but a couple of those numbers you are listing don't seem right or at the least, sensationalized extrapolations...

i think any serious study would have to start in the 1980, and represent totals: vinyl, cassette, cd, digital download, in units, and then another graph of digital dollars + non-digital dollars.
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Old 10th February 2010   #270
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side consideration:

it does not make sense to equate free music pirated to potential sales.

in other words....most music that is downloaded for free would NOT be paid for if that was the only alternative.

recorded music has become devalued in the culture to the point where if suddenly all music had to be paid for....overall music downloading (paid for downloading that is) would plummet in popularity compared to TOTAL downloading (illegal plus legal) as it stands NOW.

i get the sense that many (or even most) tracks that people download these days are optional....they could be taken or left....and that if they had to pay for every single one they would simply download way less music.

none of this is support the continuation of the current unsupportable situation (which is so fragmented and chaotic that it cannot really be called a "system")......so this is just a comment.....not a solution.
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