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Originally Posted by olivia_nb  So those two things are well correlated, I agree, but is it the cause? Is there unlimited potential for growth forever under that model? |
It's not, but it's naive in my opinion to think that it just happened to top out at that particular year.
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The public wanted to download music and there was no real solution to the demand for quite some time, so a new distribution method took hold before the industry caught up. Why has this only really happened with music? Sure the movie industry is feeling a pinch, so is the publishing industry, but why is it that the music industry fell flat on their faces?
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Beause the music industry is the one most exposed. Software has copy protection enough to keep most honest people honest. You have to go out of your way to find cracked software. Movies are still on the edge of practicality because of data size.
Music was both small enough and completely unprotected and their product is highly desired by younger people who have no sense of morality in large part, and there's a vast cottage industry on the internet that tells kids it's ok to steal music because the music industry is run by Hitler, so they have gotten the bulk of the damage.
Once it becomes practical and common place to share movies, we'll discover that the movie industry has also been run by Hitler all that time, we just didn't know that until we were able to download the movies any time we want.